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A huge argument in response to this is usually "well they should research the hardware before buying it!" Why? They don't have to when using Windows, and that's what's setting their expectations, typically.
This is improving as hardware makers are becoming more receptive to Linux and ensuring that their devices work in Linux, but is probably a large part of why that myth continues to be propagated.
Cross-platform releases are effectively the same way. New hardware? Wait for its actual Linux "release."
I have noticed nVidia is *very* good at havign drivers ready for all supported platforms FAST though. Note how quickly their drivers are out, supported and set for each new Xorg release.
Cheers.
I agree that specialty distros are important, but I believe mainstream users generally will want a distro with large software repositories, a friendly community to help with issues, and a very user friendly administration interface. Plenty of specialty distros do not have those three things.
Solutions you mentioned, such as virtualization and clever multi-boot are things that would be good for users that are having a problems specific to a certain distribution.
Myth1: The issue isn't specifically choice, having 6 Vista versions caused confusion because esentially people couldn't see the differences between what is essentially the same looking thing. With Linux, this is a slightly different ituation, as your getting a lot more choice for your buck. and you are right, some hand holding is required to get the right distro.
However the underlying fact is, Windows doesn't offer you choice, something i don't think the community uses to its advantage. With Windows you get windows, with Linux, you get KDE, Gnome, XCFE etc, there are a multitude of tools to achive the same goal, and as all people work a different way, some will have preferred tools.. how can this be a bad thing?
Myth2: I love this one, people won't use linux because its different.. er Apple? Isn't that different, people use that.. as long as there is a mouse, a web browser, an email client, and an IM, people are in the most happy, hence why these Webbooks are doing so well, its not the OS, its the tools which make the difference.
Myth3, as you pointed out, Novell, Redhat and Sun are HUGE companies. as are Google, amazon, Tivo.. just because you can't see it, doesn't mean its not being used.. people don't actually realise how often they use Linux powered systems..
Myth5: I ask you to install a Logitech Quick cam on windows without an Internet connection or install CD, then on Ubuntu, once you've done that, try an HP PSC.. now tell me that Windows has superior Driver support..
In your response to myth 5, you are correct that Windows is more likely to need an Internet connection or driver installation CD for new hardware, due to Linux supporting more hardware out of the box. The problem is hardware manufacturers are more likely to distribute driver install CDs for Windows than release a spec or create a Linux driver. Like another comment author said, this is mostly apparent with the newest hardware on the market that hasn't had the chance to be supported by the community.
Thanks for writing such a detailed comment.
The issue is how to get them. While most ethernet I've used works flawlessly with Linux out of the box, what if there's a more "fringe" ethernet card only a userspace driver that doesn't come with your distro works with?
It PAYS to have a separate stream for drivers. My best option would be to just boot into Windows if it has ethernet working, look up my network interface, and find the driver for Linux.
This has not happened to me yet, though, since ALL my drivers are available if not already ready to use with my distribution. The only driver I have to explicitly download is my proprietary nVidia driver. Back when I used Ubuntu it was because they wanted to avoid actually putting anything proprietary ("non-free") in the defalult desktop. I use Arch now. And the reason THAT isn't preinstalled and fully ready is for the same reason NO OTHER video drivers except for vesa are installed: In Arch, X and anything that uses it purely an extra, and the virtual consoles (The TTYs.) have no use for drivers more advanced than vesa.
I also know that you were talking about more than just marketshare, and Linux already has had massive success in many areas.
I think a good portion of the Linux community doesn't want Mac or Windows de-throned, but wants mainstream users to be aware of Free alternatives to proprietary software.
Though, I could see Linux surpassing Mac OS X in marketshare if Apple does not lower the cost of Macs.
Won't ever happen, of course. Apple is too convinced that their computers are somehow worth 20%-70% more than PCs, despite Macs being nothing but PCs now with the same hardware and everything.
See, the reason I don't buy the "Macs are going to take over argument" is primarily that reason. By switching to Linux I don't spend ANYTHING. I keep my perfectly good hardware and I get to use a superior alternative to BOTH Windows and Mac OS X.
When switching to Macs, you are effectively doing more than just an operating system change, you're spending more money on entirely new hardware. That costs a lot of money, and I see that's primarily why Macs will never take a significant market share.
And what has changed in the mean time? Not much. Has Linux reached the desktop? No, it hasn't. Will it ever? Probably not.
I like having Linux to mess with, but it seems it just wasn't meant for desktop. Every little thing you want to achieve requires 200 standard actions and a few very esoteric ones, coupled with some deadly pitafalls a new user could never know of... Just google for a tutorial that explains how the same thing is done under Windows and Linux and do the math for yourself. I'm sorry to say, but that's just not the way to reach desktop users.
As for 200 standard actions? Hardly. I'd say maybe ten, which is a nice number: You install any drivers missing (Not bloody likely to BE missing in the first place.), codecs, and your favorite apps with one command, even in power distros like Arch this can all be done with one command. Uno. One single command.
My experience has always been Linux taking a fraction of the time Windows does to be ready for regular use. There will be exceptions, like Arch only having the core so you have to set EVERYTHING up, to Gentoo taking a weekend to install purely because it's a source distribution.
But then take Ubuntu, which has just about everything set up for you, or Mint, which even has all codecs set and ready to go, which even Windows doesn't have.
I've used linux from SuSE 6.4 and even in the latest distro's there are still many things that make me choose XP at boot time...
The default UI - Why oh why does every linux distro I've tried look like it was designed for children? huge icons, even bigger ugly text in menus, it almost feels as if I've dropped down a screen resolution or 2.
Sound - I have yet to get a distro that has good sound support, we have ALSA, OSS, the newer ones which I forget, seems like a mini-battle for sound support.
Until linux allows me to download and install a new program as easily as XP I doubt linux will make the mainstream, if I want to install a new application under linux, I download the equivalent of a zip file, extract it, look through for some kind of install instructions, create directories, change permissions and a bunch of messing about. With windoze you download to desktop and double click... if only linux was that easy.
Having said all that, I love linux and it's quirks (sound support apart). and use it regularly when not gaming :)
Rev
Sounds to me like there's something wrong with your display. Are you using really old hardware? Or really obscure hardware? Maybe you're using nVidia cards without proprietary drivers? TRUST me, there's no reason why text and icons should be so large, so if it feels like you've lost resolution, you probably have. I'm able to use my full 1680 by 1050 resolution. To make things even smaller, I adjusted my text pitch to only about 88 DPI. Works really well.
As for the rest of the interface... it is EASILY changed.
"Sound - I have yet to get a distro that has good sound support, we have ALSA, OSS, the newer ones which I forget, seems like a mini-battle for sound support."
Actually, we just have ALSA... OSS is usually not even compiled into the kernel and OSS apps just get rerouted to ALSA. Sound usually works perfectly on Linux thanks to ALSA, but there is a new "kid" on the block that screws it all up called "Pulse Audio" that some distributions foolishly bundle by default. Ubuntu, SuSE, and Fedora do it. The others don't.
If you use those that install it by default your best bet is to remove it and get ALSA reconfigured. Believe me, ALSA works perfectly unless the distributor screws it up with PA.
"Until linux allows me to download and install a new program as easily as XP I doubt linux will make the mainstream, if I want to install a new application under linux, I download the equivalent of a zip file, extract it, look through for some kind of install instructions, create directories, change permissions and a bunch of messing about. With windoze you download to desktop and double click... if only linux was that easy."
What? Searching through tools like Synaptic is harder than picking through hundreds of spyware, shareware, commercialware and manually resolving libraries like .NET is easier than the one-command wonders that are apt-get, yum, and pacman? Perhaps you were left totally unaware of Linux package managers? Because trust me, most your Linux distros have massive software repositories that do ALL of that for you, so it sounds like you completely forgot about them or just weren't aware of them to begin with.
Trust me, with package managers and respositories, most Linux distros beat the software installation practices of Windows hands down.